Tag Archives: Draft

Coming Up Just Short: The Marginal Effect of Being a First Round Pick in the NBA Draft

Inspired by the work of my economics professor Roland G. Fryer on the marginal effect of getting into one of the three premier exam high schools in New York City on academic achievement, I decided to take a look at the … Continue reading

Posted in NBA Basketball | Tagged , | 6 Comments

Dissecting the draft: What’s a draft pick worth?

by Andrew Mooney and Alex Koenig This post can also be seen on Boston.com here.  The Celtics are in an interesting position heading into Thursday’s NBA draft. It’s arguable that it is time for the team to rebuild; three of … Continue reading

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Why Any NFL GM Who Reads Bleacher Report Should Be Fired: A Response to “Why Any NFL GM Who Uses the Harvard NFL Pick Value Chart Should Be Fired”

In April, a writer for the Bleacher Report (BR) attempted to critique a new pick value chart for the NFL draft that I created and that HSAC published. There are many legitimate criticisms of my work in that article that … Continue reading

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Equally Inaccurate: An Analysis of Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay’s Draft Rankings

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ESPN Dallas

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Posted in NFL Football | Tagged , | 27 Comments

Don’t Trade Up in the NFL Draft

As the draft looms tomorrow night, NFL teams are (hopefully) finalizing their draft boards and trying to make plans for every conceivable contingency. Whether or not they want to trade, and in which direction, is surely one of those considerations. … Continue reading

Posted in NFL Football | Tagged , , | 9 Comments

Analyzing the NFL Draft: The Safest Positions to Target in the First Round

by Robert Bedetti ESPN is once again allowing Mel Kiper to flaunt his homemade haircut and scowl on live television, which can only mean one thing: draft day is approaching. As we count down the days to the start of … Continue reading

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Dissecting the NBA Draft Lottery

By Alex Koenig The NBA Draft Lottery was instituted by the league in 1985 after accusations that teams were deliberately tanking to secure the first pick in the draft. The logic went that it was worth a team’s while to … Continue reading

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Running Back Evaluation in the NFL Draft: Part II

by Sam Waters Last week we looked at expected production for running backs based on pick number in the NFL draft. Using a logistic regression, we found the price NFL teams currently pay in terms of draft picks for a … Continue reading

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Running Back Evaluation in the NFL Draft: Part I

by Sam Waters Last week, the Houston Texans signed running back Arian Foster to a five year, $43.5 million deal. Foster, an undrafted free agent out of Tennessee in 2009, was toiling in obscurity heading into the 2010 season. Five … Continue reading

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Follow Up: Redskins Trade for RGIII

After I posted my analysis of the Redskins’ trade for Robert Griffin III, a few readers asked how good Robert Griffin III would have to be if the Washington Redskins more properly valued their future draft picks. In my previous … Continue reading

Posted in NFL Football | Tagged , , | 3 Comments