Tag Archives: NFL Football

As the draft looms tomorrow night, NFL teams are (hopefully) finalizing their draft boards and trying to make plans for every conceivable contingency. Whether or not they want to trade, and in which direction, is surely one of those considerations. … Continue reading →

by Robert Bedetti ESPN is once again allowing Mel Kiper to flaunt his homemade haircut and scowl on live television, which can only mean one thing: draft day is approaching. As we count down the days to the start of … Continue reading →

by Sam Waters Last week we looked at expected production for running backs based on pick number in the NFL draft. Using a logistic regression, we found the price NFL teams currently pay in terms of draft picks for a … Continue reading →

by Sam Waters Last week, the Houston Texans signed running back Arian Foster to a five year, $43.5 million deal. Foster, an undrafted free agent out of Tennessee in 2009, was toiling in obscurity heading into the 2010 season. Five … Continue reading →

After I posted my analysis of the Redskins’ trade for Robert Griffin III, a few readers asked how good Robert Griffin III would have to be if the Washington Redskins more properly valued their future draft picks. In my previous … Continue reading →

On Friday night, reports emerged that the Washington Redskins had agreed to give the St. Louis Rams their first and second round picks this year, along with their 2013 and 2014 first round picks in exchange for the second overall … Continue reading →

Like yesterday’s post, this study examines the predictive value of some of the measurements taken at the NFL combine: height, weight, 40-yard dash, 20-yard shuttle, cone drill, bench press repetitions, vertical leap, and broad jump. I used these metrics to … Continue reading →

[Update: For defense, click here] With the National Football League combine starting, people are sure to get excited about the players that run the fastest 40-yard dash times, bench the most, and put up numbers that match the “physical specimen” … Continue reading →

By Kevin Meers With the new collective bargaining agreement came the rookie wage scale and a lengthy discussion of how the rookie wage scale would change draft strategy. Using salary data from http://www.spotrac.com, this analysis presents two models for rookie … Continue reading →

by Kevin Meers Using my previous analysis of career approximate value (CAV) on how to value draft picks, this study analyzes how the results apply to the quarterback position. As the five-month debate on what the Colts should do viz. … Continue reading →