Follow Us on Twitter
- The Red Sox and Rangers both have 92 wins over the year. Boston has a run differential of +192. Texas has an RD of +6 Updated 7 hours ago
Most Popular (Past Few Days)
Tags
Advanced NFL Stats Attendance Baseball betting Bill Belichick binomial distribution Bleacher Report Beef Bracket Bracketology Business Coaching College Basketball College Football colts Combine Competitive Balance Draft Fans Fantasy Football Fantasy Value Handbook Football Football Outsiders Foul Golf Hall of Fame harvard basketball History HSAC ivy league Labor Relations Linsanity Lockout March Madness Meetings Menu Miami Dolphins Michael Jordan Minor League Baseball MLB Money moneyball NBA NBA Draft NCAA New England Patriots New York Nicks NFL Draft NFL Football Olympics OUTER SPACE Parity PGA Tour Phillies Playoffs Playoff Seeds probability RAP Regression Salary Soccer Speaker sports law Standard Deviation streaks super bowl Survivor Bias Tennis Timeout two point conversion Upsets visualization wall street journal Weekly Links Win Probability YankeesArchive
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
Authors
Author Archives: John Ezekowitz
Survival of the Fittest: Predicting the 2013 NCAA Tournament
The goal of every team in the NCAA tournament is to survive and advance. And, if you want to win your March Madness pool, your goal should be to predict which teams will do just that. Most prediction systems view … Continue reading
Posted in NCAA Basketball
42 Comments
Predicting the Madness: 2013 Upset Edition
For the past two years, I have worked on a model that predicts NCAA Tournament upsets using the gospel of tempo-free basketball stats, the Four Factors. Over that time, the model has gone a perfect six for six in predicting … Continue reading
The Best Home Court Advantage You’ve Never Heard About
Ask any player or coach in the Ivy League which gym is the toughest to play in, and you will get a near unanimous response: Jadwin Gymnasium at Princeton University. The Palestra may get (a lot) louder, and the road … Continue reading
Posted in NCAA Basketball
16 Comments
The RPI is Not the Real Predictive Indicator
Despite taking quite the beating recently, the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) is still the official and favored ranking system of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Selection Committee. The RPI does not take into account margin of victory, making its predictive accuracy … Continue reading
Posted in March Madness, NCAA Basketball
18 Comments
Please Do Not Throw Out the Record Books
It is the week of Thanksgiving, which means that we are in the midst of Rivalry Game season for college football. Of course, the most important game was played last Saturday, but I am given to understand that several other … Continue reading
Posted in NCAA Football
7 Comments
Are the Knicks the Oldest Team in NBA History?
Since the New York Knicks signed 38-year-old Rasheed Wallace two weeks ago, there have been a plethora of articles and “hot takes” in the media about how the Knicks have become “the oldest team in NBA history.” Most appear to … Continue reading
Survival of the Fittest: A New Model for NCAA Tournament Prediction
(Editor’s note: You can see the model’s 2012 1-68 rankings here and full bracket here) Every year, millions of Americans tune in to watch the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, colloquially known as March Madness. And every year, millions participate in Bracket Pools, where … Continue reading
