Author Archives: John Ezekowitz

Making Sense of the Chaos: A BCS Prediction Model

By John Ezekowitz and Chris Bruce Over the past few weeks, we have been predicting the college football polls. We were surprised by how predictable moves in these polls turned out to be. This got us thinking: what if we … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 14 Comments

Predicting the Polls Week 12: An All-SEC BCS Title Game?

By Chris Bruce and John Ezekowitz This is the latest in our series of attempts to predict the college football polls. For previous weeks, see posts from week 11, week 10,  week 9, and week 8 (which includes our methodology) Three of the top … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 1 Comment

Predicting the Polls Week 11: Can Oregon break into the top 3?

By Chris Bruce and John Ezekowitz This is the latest in our series of attempts to predict the college football polls. For previous weeks, see posts from week 10,  week 9, and week 8 (which includes our methodology) With the … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 3 Comments

Predicting the Coaches’ Poll Week 10: How Far Will Bama Fall?

By Chris Bruce and John Ezekowitz This is post is in a series of our attempts to predict college football polls. For more info, see posts here and here. The major story in college football this week was, of course, … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 2 Comments

Predicting the Polls Week 9: AP and Coaches’ Poll

By John Ezekowitz and Chris Bruce Last week, we introduced our methodology for predicting the college football AP Poll before it came out. This week, we continue our prediction series and add the Coaches’ Poll, which is calculated as part … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 3 Comments

Predicting the College Football Polls

By Chris Bruce and John Ezekowitz The poll ranking system in college football is essentially a popularity contest – sportswriters and coaches vote by ranking the teams, and the results are compiled into the AP and Coaches Poll respectively. You … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Football | 8 Comments

How Much Does Vegas Learn?

19th century mathematician and genius Francis Galton, the man who invented the regression line (for which we at HSAC are forever indebted), once found himself at a country fair with a peculiar contest: who could guess the exact weight of … Continue reading

Posted in Business, NCAA Basketball | 20 Comments

New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports (NESSIS)

Harvard University (Science Center) – Cambridge, Massachusetts Saturday, September 24, 2011 The 2011 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports (NESSIS) will be a meeting of statisticians and quantitative analysts connected with sports teams, sports media, and universities to discuss common problems … Continue reading

Posted in Papers | 1 Comment

Quantifying Intangibles: A New Way to Predict the NCAA Tournament

By John Ezekowitz Each March, college basketball fans looking for help in filling out their NCAA Tournament brackets can go one of two ways: the quantitative, algorithmic route used effectively by sites like Ken Pomeroy and TeamRankings, or the “expert … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged | 15 Comments

The NCAA Tournament Network

By John Ezekowitz and Ben Blatt Now that the bracket is out and fans everywhere are busy trying to find that perfect upset, a lot of attention will be paid rightly to projecting ahead. We thought, however, that it might … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged | 2 Comments