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Author Archives: kevinmeers
Debunking the Trap Game and Letdown Game Myths
Yesterday, Aaron Schatz issued a challenge to his readership to prove the existence of a “trap game” or a “letdown game”. Both terms are thrown around in the media for almost every sport all the time, but I have not … Continue reading
Posted in NFL Football
22 Comments
Why Any NFL GM Who Reads Bleacher Report Should Be Fired: A Response to “Why Any NFL GM Who Uses the Harvard NFL Pick Value Chart Should Be Fired”
In April, a writer for the Bleacher Report (BR) attempted to critique a new pick value chart for the NFL draft that I created and that HSAC published. There are many legitimate criticisms of my work in that article that … Continue reading
Don’t Trade Up in the NFL Draft
As the draft looms tomorrow night, NFL teams are (hopefully) finalizing their draft boards and trying to make plans for every conceivable contingency. Whether or not they want to trade, and in which direction, is surely one of those considerations. … Continue reading
Optimizing Draft Strategies in Fantasy Football: Abstract
This is the abstract from the paper “Optimizing Draft Strategies in Fantasy Football” by Papa Chakravarthy. Please find the full text here. Data was collected from ESPN.com and Pro Football Reference to determine a conditionally optimal auction draft strategy contingent on correct … Continue reading
Posted in Fantasy Sports, Papers
1 Comment
Salary Allocation and Risk Preferences in the NFL: Abstract
This is the abstract from the paper “Salary Allocation and Risk Preferences in the National Football League: The Implications of Salary Allocation in Understanding the Preferences of NFL Owners” by Papa Chakravarthy. Please find the full text here. The study of risk … Continue reading
Posted in Business, NFL Football, Papers
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Brandon Morrow’s Supposed Struggles From the Stretch
Please follow this link to read HSAC contributor Sam Waters’s analysis of Brandon Morrow at http://www.baseballanalytics.org. Quick preview: Heading into this year, many still view Morrow as a breakout candidate, but the narrative has changed a little. No one has … Continue reading
Posted in MLB Baseball
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Follow Up: Redskins Trade for RGIII
After I posted my analysis of the Redskins’ trade for Robert Griffin III, a few readers asked how good Robert Griffin III would have to be if the Washington Redskins more properly valued their future draft picks. In my previous … Continue reading
Evaluating the Redskins Trade for Robert Griffin III
On Friday night, reports emerged that the Washington Redskins had agreed to give the St. Louis Rams their first and second round picks this year, along with their 2013 and 2014 first round picks in exchange for the second overall … Continue reading
Does the NFL Combine Matter: Defense
Like yesterday’s post, this study examines the predictive value of some of the measurements taken at the NFL combine: height, weight, 40-yard dash, 20-yard shuttle, cone drill, bench press repetitions, vertical leap, and broad jump. I used these metrics to … Continue reading
Does the NFL Combine Matter: Offense
[Update: For defense, click here] With the National Football League combine starting, people are sure to get excited about the players that run the fastest 40-yard dash times, bench the most, and put up numbers that match the “physical specimen” … Continue reading
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