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Tag Archives: Playoffs
Embrace the Chaos: the NFL Playoffs and Variance
By Andrew Mooney For interested fan or gambler, the NFL playoffs can be infinitely maddening to comprehend. Those Cincinnati Bengals that had won seven of their last eight? Well, they’re out, held to just -6 passing yards in the first … Continue reading
One and Done: A Thing of the Past? An Analysis of the NBA First-Round Playoff Format
By Will McMillan In the middle of the 2002-2003 NBA season, the league made a decision to switch the first round of playoff series from a best-of-5 to best-of-7 format. This was a puzzling move at the time, with the … Continue reading
MLB Playoff Home-Field Advantage Is Tinier Than David Eckstein
By David Roher These playoffs have been one for the road. In the Division Series, the home team went a combined 4-11, including a 1-7 showing in the ALDS. Why this happened isn’t that important — you can come up … Continue reading
The Value of an NBA Playoff Seed
By David Roher More than half of the teams in the NBA make the playoffs year. This makes a lot of the drama at the season’s conclusion about seeds. Having a 3 instead of a 4 or a 6 instead … Continue reading
The Swing Game
By David Roher Update: An astute commenter below pointed out a key mathematical error that I made. The corrected values on the table are in italics. It seems that every game in a short series gets classified as either a … Continue reading
Posted in MLB Baseball
Tagged Baseball, binomial distribution, Phillies, Playoffs, probability, Yankees
13 Comments
A Clever Rule
By David Roher If you’re like me, you might have spent some time thinking about a peculiar rule in the seedings for the MLB Playoffs: if the #1 seed in a league (the best record among the 3 division winners) … Continue reading
The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective 