Monthly Archives: March 2010

Butler and Its Home-Court Advantage

By Jake Fisher This Saturday, two No. 5 seeds, Butler and Michigan State, will kick off Final Four weekend. Butler, the Cinderella out of the Horizon League, is on a 24-game winning streak. Michigan State has beaten the odds as … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged , | 4 Comments

Should MLB Realign Its Divisions?

By Ben Blatt Some people believe that baseball faces a serious parity problem. While most would acknowledge that the root of the problem is in unequal payrolls, the position of many owners and the player’s union makes it unlikely that … Continue reading

Posted in MLB Baseball | Tagged , | 5 Comments

In Which an Infinite Number of Monkeys Brag About Picking Northern Iowa

By David Roher There are over nine quintillion ways to fill out your bracket, and over four hundred trillion ways to predict the first two rounds alone. Based on the craziness of the first four days of the tournament, I … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: Favorite Vulnerability

By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free stat profiles using’s invaluable data.  … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

March Madness for (Statistically Inclined) Dummies

Author note: This article originally appeared on the old HSAC blog around this time last year, back when I was a wee freshman (I am now a no-less-wee sophomore). But because that blog has been lost to the ages, and … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged , , , | 14 Comments

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: The Underdogs

By John Ezekowitz A few weeks ago, when I started analyzing the effects of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets, I got a crazy idea: what if I could find a model that would predict factors of successful underdogs? I’ve always … Continue reading

Posted in NCAA Basketball | Tagged , , , , , | 9 Comments

HSAC at MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference

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Where Every Team Is Above Average: Home-Field Advantage and its Effects on Revenue

By David Roher Had an incredible time at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference yesterday. I got to tell so many people how long I’d been reading their books and blogs, or how important they were to my becoming interested in … Continue reading

Posted in MLB Baseball, NBA Basketball, NFL Football, NHL Hockey | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Getting Down to Business: Part 2

By Jake Fisher In the first installment of this series, I looked at team values provided by Forbes. According to regression analysis, team value is a function of team revenue. I also looked at the correlation between a team’s winning … Continue reading

Posted in Business, MLB Baseball, NBA Basketball, NFL Football, NHL Hockey | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

COSTAS: The Weighted Olympic Medal Count

By David Roher Disclaimer: This medal weighting system does not reflect the views or endorsement of any NBC broadcasters, and only reflects the view of the author. U-S-A! U-S-A! According to the medal count that everyone’s using, we’re #1, unless … Continue reading

Posted in Olympics | Tagged , , , | 16 Comments